The Future: six drivers of global change

Chapter 73

Catherine Rampell, "A Female Parliamentary Majority in Just One Country: Rwanda," New York Times, Economix blog, March 9, 2010, http://economix.blogs.nytimes.com/2010/03/09/women-underrepresented-in-parliaments-around-the-world/; Inter-Parliamentary Union, "Women in National Parliaments."

222 only 7 percent of corporate boards in the world

"A Guide to Womenomics," Economist.

223 have also fallen below the replacement rate

Steven Philip Kramer, "Baby Gap: How to Boost Birthrates and Avoid Demographic Decline," Foreign Affairs, May/June 2012.

224 The U.S. birthrate fell to an all-time low in 2011

Terence P. Jeffrey, "CDC: U.S. Birth Rate Hits All-Time Low; 40.7% of Babies Born to Unmarried Women," CNS News, October 31, 2012, http://cnsnews.com/news/article/cdc-us-birth-rate-hits-all-time-low-407-babies-born-unmarried-women.

225 64 million by 2100

Bryan Walsh, "j.a.pan: Still Shrinking," Time, August 28, 2006.

226 career paths after having children, and other benefits

Kramer, "Baby Gap."

227 now once again nearly at their replacement rate of fertility

Ibid.

228 not yet been able to slow their fertility declines

Ibid.

229 greater per capita expense of U.S. health care

Simon Rogers, "Healthcare Spending Around the World, Country by Country," Guardian, June 30, 2012; Harvey Morris, "U.S. Healthcare Costs More Than 'Socialized' European Medicine," International Herald Tribune, June 28, 2012.

230 year 2000 are projected to live past the age of 100

"Most Babies Born Today May Live Past 100," ABC News, October 1, 2009, http://abcnews.go.com/Health/WellnessNews/half-todays-babies-expected-live-past-100/story?id=8724273.

231 will live to be more than 104

Ibid.

232 less than thirty years; some believe much less

Nicholas Wade, "Genetic Data and Fossil Evidence Tell Differing Tales of Human Origins," New York Times, July 27, 2012; Sonia Arrison, "Average Life Expectancy Through History," Wall Street Journal, August 27, 2011.

233 but not until the middle of the nineteenth century

Arrison, "Average Life Expectancy Through History."

234 and in most industrial countries are now in the high seventies

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs, World Population Prospects: The 2010 Revision; Arrison, "Average Life Expectancy Through History."

235 aged sixty-five and older within the next quarter century

Ted C. Fishman, "As Populations Age, a Chance for Younger Nations," New York Times Magazine, October 17, 2010.

236 and by 2050 fully one third of Chinese will be sixty or older

Ibid.; Joseph Chamie, former director of the United Nations Population Division, "The Battle of the Billionaires: China vs. India," Globalist, October 4, 2010.

237 percentage of the elderly will still be half that in China

Chamie, "The Battle of the Billionaires: China vs. India."

238 the j.a.panese bought more adult diapers than baby diapers



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