The Future: six drivers of global change

Chapter 77

UNHCR, "2009 Global Trends."

289 countries for refugees are Afghanistan and Iraq

Ibid.

290 mostly to Pakistan (1.9 million) and Iran (one million)

UNHCR, "Global Trends 2010," http://www.unhcr.org/4dfa11499.pdf.

291 Iraq have also gone mostly to neighboring countries

Ibid.

292 are hosted in nations neighboring their country of origin

"The Impacts of Refugees on Neighboring Countries: A Development Challenge," World Development Report 2011 Background Note, July 29, 2010, http://wdronline.worldbank.org/worldbank/a/nonwdrdetail/199.

293 the Middle East and North Africa (another 1.9 million)

UNHCR, "Global Trends 2010."

294 Muslims already make up 5 percent of Europe's population

Ibid.; Kurt M. Campbell et al., "The Age of Consequences."

295 nativist groups exploit the public's uneasiness

Peter Walker and Matthew Taylor, "Far Right on Rise in Europe, Says Report," Guardian, November 6, 2011.

296 "to the relentless advance of climate change"

"UN Report Predicts Increase in World's Displaced," a.s.sociated Press.

297 to protect against a predicted wave of climate refugees

Sharon Udasin, "Defending Israel's Borders from 'Climate Refugees,' " Jerusalem Post, May 15, 2012.

298 Israeli environmental protection minister Gilad Erdan

Ibid.

299 "where it is possible to escape this"

Ibid.

300 "they shoot, in j.a.pan they shoot"

Ibid.

301 many climate refugees eastward into the Darfur region

Ibid.

302 Palestinian territories, Syria, and the Nile Delta in Egypt

Ibid.

303 "exactly as Europe is doing now"

Ibid.

304 "spur additional migration from Africa and South Asia"

Campbell et al., "The Age of Consequences."



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