The Future: six drivers of global change

Chapter 26

Malcolm Gladwell, "The Tweaker," New Yorker, November 14, 2011.

75 "conflict between that interest and any other, that other should yield"

Wayne D. Rasmussen, U.S. Department of Agriculture National Agricultural Library, "Lincoln's Agricultural Legacy," January 30, 2012, http://www.nal.usda.gov/lincolns-agricultural-legacy.

76 1789 to a little under 60 percent

U.S. Department of Agriculture, "A History of American Agriculture: Farmers & the Land," Agriculture in the Cla.s.sroom, http://www.agcla.s.sroom.org/gan/timeline/farmers_land.htm.

77 to establish colleges of agriculture and the mechanical arts

Rasmussen, "Lincoln's Agricultural Legacy."

78 Every state did so

U.S. Department of Agriculture, "A History of American Agriculture."

79 every one of the 3,000 counties in the United States

Representative Butler Derrick, Congressional Record 140, no. 138 (September 28, 1994).

80 global production of eggs has increased by 350 percent

United Nations Food and Agriculture Organization, World Livestock 2011, http://www.fao.org/docrep/014/i2373e/i2373e.pdf.

81 with 70 million tons annually-four times the production of the United States

Ibid.

82 has increased over the same period by more than 3,200 percent

Ibid.

83 very day that the first s.p.a.ce satellite, Sputnik, was launched by the Soviet Union

Brian J. Cudahy, "The

84 will carry goods from one country to another

Ibid.; Marc Levinson, "Container s.h.i.+pping and the Economy," Transportation Research News, Transportation Research Board of the National Academies, no. 246 (September / October 2006): 10, http://onlinepubs.trb.org/onlinepubs/trnews/trnews246.pdf.

85 now in surplus supply (much as food grains were a few decades ago)

"Plunging Prices Set to Trigger Tech Boom," Financial Times, January 8, 2012; "TV Prices Fall, Squeezing Most Makers and Sellers," New York Times, December 26, 2011.

86 in today's dollars, would be $8,000

Richard Powelson, "First Color Television Sets Were Sold 50 Years Ago," Scripps Howard News Service, December 31, 2003, http://www.post-gazette.com/tv/20031231colortv1231p3.asp.

87 133 percent, even as jobs have decreased by 33 percent

Energy Information Administration, Annual Energy Review, October 19, 2011, http://www.eia.gov/totalenergy/data/annual/xls/stb0702.xls; Mine Safety and Health Administration, Table 3, "Average Number of Employees at Coal Mines in the United States, by Primary Activity, 19782008," http://www.msha.gov/STATS/PART50/WQ/1978/wq78cl03.asp.

88 increased significantly over much of that period

John E. Tilton and Hans H. Landsberg, September 1997, "Innovation, Productivity Growth, and the Survival of the U.S. Copper Industry," Resources for the Future, http://www.rff.org/RFF/Doc.u.ments/RFF-DP-97-41.pdf.

89 number of hours of labor required to produce a ton of copper fell by 50 percent

Ibid.

90 labor productivity in one of its largest mines by 400 percent

Ibid.



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